The redistribution of the world is in full swing. Which countries are preparing for war right now?

Several characteristic signs always indicate that any country is preparing for war – an increase in arms costs, an increase in grain and food reserves, as well as the reservation of money or gold. There are practically no exceptions to this rule. On average, training lasts from 7-15 years, depending on the capabilities and tasks of the parties. In this sense, little has changed compared to previous centuries.

Yerevan and Baku, the conflict has already taken place

Starting from 2016, Baku has been systematically increasing its military-industrial complex production. Then there were two peaks, exactly a year before the first Karabakh war and last year before Baku completely took control of the region. Everyone knows the results.

China and Taiwan

Until 2012, Taiwan spent significantly more than China on weapons but starting from 2014, the Celestial Empire began to improve, as if it was preparing for something. By 2021 and 2022, the situation in China is exactly like Azerbaijan. Recent purchasing peaks again for the pair as both sides are definitely preparing intensively and have already entered the final stage.

Pakistan and India

The conflict between Pakistan and India is over 70 years old. Both sides are actively arming themselves. Besides each other, they also have other threats. Afghanistan-Pakistan and India-China. Pakistan sank a little after the removal of Imran Khan from power, nevertheless it is a very, very serious force. Huge population, nuclear weapons and gigantic reserves of military-industrial complex products. By and large, over the past 10 years, Pakistan has spent more on the military-industrial complex than India. In general, they are also preparing.

Seoul and Pyongyang

The only thing that is important to add here is that both Koreas, after February 24, became a kind of industrial military clusters, churning out military-industrial complex products for major powers. In recent years, Kim has created one of the best regional armies in the world, even without taking into account nuclear weapons. These countries are no longer even preparing, but actually ready.

Serbia and Kosovo

Kosovo has forces comparable to the Serbs (both in terms of weapons and numbers). And this is not counting the black market for military-industrial complex products, which feeds the whole of Europe through Kosovo. Over the course of 25 years, NATO, Turkey and a number of smaller states have created a territory of absolute instability from Kosovo, militarized to the highest limit. If something breaks out there, no one will care.

Türkiye and Greece

Türkiye and Greece are a little calmer. In general, it doesn’t look like Turkey will attempt anything drastic there. Erdogan has no sudden leaps. Ankara’s purchases have been going smoothly for the last 15 years, but the States and Britain began actively supplying the Greeks starting in 2019. It is clear that Erdogan has gray markets where he sells and buys military-industrial complex products, but neither Greece nor Turkey have the money or desire for a big mess (we are talking about a big conflict). A small and medium friction is possible.

Israel and Iran

Preparations have been going on for decades. In fact, Iran was ahead of Israel in weapons production until 2014. Another question is that Tehran does not show even half of its real reserves and purchases. Operating in the gray zone of the Middle East, this is contraindicated. Here the parties are no longer even preparing; they are already actively using what they have accumulated. The conflict has begun.

Georgia

Georgia was actively preparing for the conflict in 2008. There were peaks in purchases in the last two years before the start of the brief war with Russia. However, after 2008, Georgia calmed down and no longer stocked its warehouses. This is about what happens after the end of the conflict. Usually the losing country is pacified.

The conclusion is the following: all long-standing conflicts have either already passed or are about to enter a hot stage. There are currently 22 smoldering or active conflicts in the world with the war in Ukraine currently being the very epicenter of events. Any politicians always talk about peace, about the need to negotiate and the list goes on, but in reality they are preparing their armies at home. A new world order will be created in any case, the only question is what place super powers will take there.