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We Are Now One Year Away From Global Riots, Complex Systems Theorists Say

By Brian Merchant  | Motherboard

What’s the number one reason we riot? The plausible, justifiable motivations of trampled-upon humanfolk to fight back are many—poverty, oppression, disenfranchisement, etc—but the big one is more primal than any of the above. It’s hunger, plain and simple. If there’s a single factor that reliably sparks social unrest, it’s food becoming too scarce or too expensive. So argues a group of complex systems theorists in Cambridge, and it makes sense.
In a 2011 paper, researchers at the Complex Systems Institute unveiled a model that accurately explained why the waves of unrest that swept the world in 2008 and 2011 crashed when they did. The number one determinant was soaring food prices. Their model identified a precise threshold for global food prices that, if breached, would lead to worldwide unrest.
The MIT Technology Review explains how CSI’s model works: “The evidence comes from two sources. The first is data gathered by the United Nations that plots the price of food against time, the so-called food price index of the Food and Agriculture Organisation of the UN. The second is the date of riots around the world, whatever their cause.” Plot the data, and it looks like this:

Pretty simple. Black dots are the food prices, red lines are the riots. In other words, whenever the UN’s food price index, which measures the monthly change in the price of a basket of food commodities, climbs above 210, the conditions ripen for social unrest around the world. CSI doesn’t claim that any breach of 210 immediately leads to riots, obviously; just that the probability that riots will erupt grows much greater. For billions of people around the world, food comprises up to 80% of routine expenses (for rich-world people like you and I, it’s like 15%). When prices jump, people can’t afford anything else; or even food itself. And if you can’t eat—or worse, your family can’t eat—you fight.
But how accurate is the model? An anecdote the researchers outline in the report offers us an idea. They write that “on December 13, 2010, we submitted a government report analyzing the repercussions of the global financial crises, and directly identifying the risk of social unrest and political instability due to food prices.” Four days later, Mohamed Bouazizi set himself on fire as an act of protest in Tunisia. And we all know what happened after that.
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Read the full article at: motherboard.vice.com

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Fact or fiction

The Alien Monkey Case

Some cases illustrate how far a joke can go. If it was a joke, of course.

On the night of July 8, 1953, three American students, Edward Waters, Thomas Wilson, and Arnold Payne, were traveling by car on Highway 78 west of Atlanta. Suddenly, Waters saw someone on the road and was forced to stop abruptly.

The three boys had an incredible sight. Two short humanoid creatures stood in the way, and beside them lay a third being. At first glance, it was dead and wounded, as if hit by a car.

When the two living monkey-like humanoids saw the humans, they rushed to the red alien ship, which immediately flew out and disappeared into the night sky.

Shortly thereafter, the boys met Officer Sherley Brown. They told him what they saw, and when the officer went to the designated location, he found the dead body of a strange creature and a black burned circle of asphalt, apparently left behind by an alien ship.

This story immediately makes a lot of noise in the media and remains current for a few days. The three students were the center of attention of the journalists and gave many interviews.

The body of the strange little creature was transferred to a hospital. There, one of the doctors said that “it is definitely not from Earth“. Then the US Air Force became interested in the case.

Then, the body of the being was taken and given to Dr. Hermann Jones of Emory University and Professor Marion Hines. Soon, they announce the following:

“We cannot explain the lack of fur, but for all other reasons, we consider this creature to be a monkey and its characteristics are closest to that of rhesus monkeys.”

When these words appear in the media, the three students immediately acknowledge the fraud, and that this body is indeed a rhesus monkey.

It turns out that while playing cards, Waters bets $ 10 that he will make his photo appear in the newspapers in the coming days. Then he and two of his friends came up with a plan for how to do it.

They bought rhesus monkeys from a local pet store. To keep the seller silent, they paid him a generous amount. Then they killed the innocent animal, shaved his body with a razor, cut off his tail, and “artistically” laid him on the road to a certain place. Nearby, using a striking machine, they made the “alien ship trace”.

The monkey’s body is now in a museum

The court fines Waters $ 40, but then there are many calls from offended citizens who demand more, higher fines.

The reaction of the locals was so violent that Waters soon had to leave Atlanta and move to another city.

Many conspiracy theories have emerged for this story. In fact, in those days many people claimed to have seen strange lights and UFOs in the area. It was said that the three students were forced to “admit” that it was their “joke”.

Conspiracy theorists point to the rapid disappearance of the Waters, the main eyewitness. They think he may not have been hiding from angry citizens, but he was abducted by the FBI because he was a major eyewitness.

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Mysterious Ray of Light causes panic in Edmonton, Canada

On Wednesday evening 27 November 2019, the citizens of Edmonton (Alberta, Canada) were amazed by the presence of a gigantic ray of light that seemed to be projected by a huge sphere of light that was located near the oil refinery.

This mysterious ray of light caused panic among the people to attack the switchboards of the fire brigade and the police. According to local media, the strange phenomenon was seen for the first time around 7:00 pm and remained visible for hours.

As often as it happens with such events, many people have published photos of the mysterious pillar of light on social networks and have speculated about its origin. And among the most popular theories was that the lightning was evidence of an alien invasion.

However, the most skeptical, expressed concern that the strange light came from a disaster of some kind and continued to report it to the fire department, which offered an alternative explanation via Twitter for what people saw in the sky.

According to the official version, the ray of light was neither of extraterrestrial nor demonic origin and had a much less sinister explanation. The fire brigade then wrote on Twitter that: “it was established that it could be a controlled fire at the Imperial Oil refinery in Strathcona, which will continue for the next 48 hours”.

According to CBC News, it would have been a type of incineration used to safely burn additional gases that cannot be used. Strathcona is an oil refinery located just outside Edmonton. The refinery fire was to last 48 hours in total and could be seen west of Parkland County. Although some citizens of Edmonton thought it was an extraterrestrial activity, others knew exactly what was happening when they saw bright light in the sky.

But this explanation did not prevent some conspiracy theorists from insuring that it had nothing to do with the Strathcona refinery, since as a general rule any unusual activity in its facilities was communicated in advance. For what they believe the Canadian authorities are trying to hide what has happened, that the light beam is of extraterrestrial origin, be it a sort of signal or the landing of an alien ship.

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UFO flies to the White House and the Capitol. NORAD announces potential violation of airspace

On Tuesday, November 26, 2019, NORAD announced the blocking of airspace and roads adjacent to the White House and Capitol Hill, due to a potential violation of airspace, which may have been caused by an unidentified drop-shaped flying object that was stationed above the White House and the Capitol. For officials of the NSA and the White House, of course, in order to minimize and ridicule the incident, they said it was a flock of birds.

A spokesman for the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) told NBC News that the object that caused the airspace blockage may have been caused by “a flock of birds or a weather balloon”. The spokesman also stated that the event was “resolved without incident”. On Tuesday the White House and the Capitol Building suffered a brief power failure.

You don’t have to believe to extraterrestrials to know that the US government knows how a flock of birds appears on the radar. And it’s not even the first time that unexplained UFO activities take place on the White House!

But the ufologists have asked themselves ironically: how can a flock of birds stop at the White House and on the Capitol, causing a blockage of the electric current and subsequent blockage of the air space, putting NORAD on alert?

The US government has tried to ridiculously explain the situation by saying that the birds have been seen on an obsolete radar system, and even saying that it is a creation by a cloudy, and therefore meteorological, system, they have even said that this huge object on sight, could be a small drone. Clearly they have no idea what this object was … so it wasn’t identified … and it was flying, and it was a solid object.

The British ufologist Scott Waring said: ” This is absolutely a visit of alien ships. The UFOs were seen in Washington as early as 1952, when for several weeks from July 12 to July 29, the objects were first sighted on radar … just like this week’s UFO. Then they saw on the radar that the ship’s movements did not resemble the conventional ones, but moved like nothing they had ever seen. Then a plane spotted one … saying it was like an orange fireball with a long trail, but others were white and without tails. I am sure that 1952 was not the first time ever, and 2019 will not be the last. “

The NORAD, after this UFO sighting, sent three F16 fighters for a reconnaissance flight over.

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