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# By the end of March, the planet may lose 1.7 billion people, coronavirus has a Ro of 3.8?

Real Time Coronavirus Monitoring

Are we at the beginning of a science fiction horror movie? Is it time to stock up on emergency supplies?

If Doctor Eric Feigl-Ding, who “taught for 15 years at Harvard”, is right in his Twitter statements, it reinforces the theory that the Coronavirus was man made and can be catastrophic.

HOLY MOTHER OF GOD – the new coronavirus is a 3.8 !! How bad is that value of reproductive R0? It’s bad at the level of a thermonuclear pandemic – I’ve never seen such a real virality coefficient in my entire career. I’m not exaggerating … #WuhanCoronovirus

We estimate that the basic reproduction number of the infection (R_0) is 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-4.0), which indicates that between 72 and 75% of transmissions should be prevented by control measures so that infections stop increasing.

We estimate that only 5.1% (95% CI, 4.8-5.5) of Wuhan infections are identified, and as of January 21, a total of 11,341 people (prediction interval, 9,217-14,245) had been infected in Wuhan since the beginning of the year. Should the epidemic continue without diminishing in Wuhan?

We expect that the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially greater by February 4 (191,529 infections; prediction interval, 132,751-273,649), the infection will be established in other Chinese cities and imports to other countries will be more frequent. Our model suggests that travel restrictions to and from the city of Wuhan are unlikely to be effective in stopping transmission throughout China; With an effective 99% reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan can only be reduced by 24.9% on February 4.

### Keep going:

What does this mean for the world? We are now facing the most virulent virus, an epidemic that the world has never seen before. An R0 = 3.8 means that it exceeds the modest SARS viral attack rate of 0.49 by 7.75x – almost 8 times! A virus that spreads 8 times faster than SARS cannot be stopped just by containment. A 99% containment of Wuhan quarantine blockade will not reduce the spread of the epidemic even by a third in the next two weeks. Therefore, I really hate being the epidemiologist who has to admit this, but we are potentially facing a possible pandemic without control that the world has not seen since the Spanish Flu of 1918. Hopefully it does not reach that level, but now we live in a modern world, faster than in 1918.

@WHO and @CDCgov need to declare a public health emergency as soon as possible!

## Let’s hope for the best, prepared for the worst

Another report with an even higher R0 of 3.3-5.4

It is not peer reviewed, but it shows a much higher R0 than other reports.

We estimate that the average of R0 ranges from 3.30 (95% CI: 2.73-3.96) to 5.47 (95% CI: 4.16-7.10) associated with a 0 to 2-fold increase in the reporting rate. With the increase in the notification rate, the average of R0 is likely to be below 5 but above 3. Conclusion: The average estimate of R0 for the 2019-nCoV ranges from 3.30 (95% CI: 2 , 73-3.96) and 5.47 (95% CI: 4.16-7.10), and is significantly greater than 1. Our findings indicate the potential of 2019-nCoV to cause outbreaks.

### An update from Dr. Ding

The R0 classification explained

It basically means how many people can be affected during the course of the infection period. The virus can stay there without the hosts recognizing the symptoms and will spread to another 3.8 people and then to another 3.8.etc. even before the symptoms manifest. The common flu and such has a rating of 1.4ish RO.

Is Dr. Feigl-Ding’s analysis correct or not?

Ferris Jabr, a scientific writer and contributor to the New York Times, said the following about Dr. Feigl-Ding’s analysis:

The viral thread cited below lacks essential context and contains numerous errors. It does not reflect the latest evidence.

## An unspeakable exponential growth rate forecast

At the moment, the epidemic is developing strictly according to the predicted scenario of The End Times Forecaster. Most likely, this scenario is greatly underestimated, because to test for a new virus, special kits are needed and they are not in every hospital. In addition, authorities tend to always hide the whole picture.

As you can see, the incidence growth table ends on the magic figure on February 22nd, therefore, what will happen after February 22nd is somehow unknown.

However, the editors of The End Times Forecaster, were not too lazy and continued the above calculation based on the principles of exponential growth rate:

Thus, based solely on official and strictly scientific data, as of March 8, 2020, 7 billion 760,000 people should be ill. Not being afraid of the result, The End Times Forecaster continued their calculations:

In this table, the left margin is already empty, since only the number of fatalities can be considered. And these fatalities, according to strictly scientific data, will be 1 billion 694 239 367 people.

We don’t know if this forecast will be confirmed, but if the epidemic is not stopped now, then it will be so – the planet could lose a billion and a half people.

References: biorxiv.org

Real Time Coronavirus Monitoring

# Why some US preachers think that “Antichrist will come from Russia”

The USSR was perceived by wide sections of American society not only as a geopolitical, but also a sacred enemy, which was reflected in Ronald Reagan’s speech to evangelicals in 1983, when the American president dubbed the Soviet Union an evil empire.

The restructuring and subsequent disintegration of the Soviet state softened the perception of Russia in many religious communities, but the country’s activity in the Middle East revived old eschatological concepts based on a peculiar interpretation of the Bible.

The interpretation of scripture continues to give some Christian activists in the United States a pretext for detecting apocalyptic threats from Russia. As the modern writer and evangelist Joel Rosenberg states, the collapse of the USSR does not mean the death of the Russian bear, but “Ezekiel gives a clear understanding that he is in hibernation and will soon return with revenge.”

## Ezekiel’s prophecy

A negative assessment of the USSR among American religious communities has always been based not only on Soviet atheism and destruction of churches, but also on the biblical prophecy of Ezekiel. In accordance with this prediction, “in the last years” the ruler Gog from the northern land of Magog will invade Israel with the Persians, Ethiopians and Libyans, as well as with the wars of Homer and the “House of Fogarma”.

The wrath of God will fall on the invaders, and a great shock will happen in the land of Israel: all living beings will “tremble” and “mountains will fall, and cliffs will fall, and all walls will fall to the ground.” However, the invaders will be defeated after “all-sinking rain, stone hail, fire and brimstone” hit them: Gog and his troops will perish, and God will send fire to the land of the invading ruler.

All this, according to the prophecy, will happen to the glory of the Lord. It is noteworthy that in the New Testament the words Gog and Magog designate pagan tribes that will go to battle with the people of God.

The events from the Old Testament book of Ezekiel were subsequently associated by theologians with the Antichrist and the last judgment. According to the blessed Augustine, Gog represents the enemies of the church, and Magog personifies the devil.

## What does Russia have to do with it?

Nevertheless, the allegorical interpretation of the concepts from the prophecy of Ezekiel was never the only one, as early as the 1st century AD the historian Josephus Flavius ​​identified the people of Magog with the Scythians. Later, many readings of the Old Testament words appeared, which were attributed by researchers to different peoples living north of Israel.

The reason for Magog’s connection with Russia was the 1st verse of the 39th chapter of the book of Ezekiel, in which Gog is called the prince of Rosha (which is consonant with Russia), Meshech and Tubala (Tubala). There are no capital letters in Hebrew, which is why Bible translators often had to deal with ambiguous situations. The word “rosh” was given the meaning of a proper name only by the Greeks, while representatives of the Latin faith most often understood it as the adjective “main”.

It was this word that caused the binding of Ezekiel’s prophecy to Russia. At the same time, in the Bible of King James, which Protestants consider canonical, Gog is called “the supreme prince of Meshech and Tubal.”

This version of the Holy Scripture is considered the official one for the English language and is most widespread in the United States, therefore it is very strange when American Christian activists resort to the Greek translation when interpreting Ezekiel.

## Freaks and speculators

There is no state church in the United States, and religious policy contributes to the emergence of a wide variety of spiritual communities, which is why Christian denominations are widespread in the country – organizations that are intermediate between the church and the sect. Most often, the preachers of these particular associations declare that Russia is connected with the Antichrist.

Thus, the official website of The Family International movement claims that Russia is Magog, and Meshekh and Tubal are Moscow and Tobolsk. According to supporters of such views, domestic support for Syria could lead to an invasion of Israel, which would mean the fulfillment of Ezekiel’s prophecy. The founder of the religious movement Koinonia House, Chuck Missler, who announced the beginning of the apocalypse on January 1, 2000, believes that Russia will attack Israel together with Turkey, which will withdraw from NATO.

Joel Rosenberg, mentioned above, interprets the book of Ezekiel as a prediction of Russia’s invasion of the holy land together with Muslim countries, first of all, with Iran, which in the Old Testament is understood as Persians. Typically, people who claim such things have a reputation in the United States as either eccentric or religious speculators.

## Each on a different path

Throughout the history of Christianity, many social groups that called themselves adherents of the truth of the faith created their own Antichrist, which, according to the Bible, is covered with good ideas. The Protestants, including Martin Luther and John Calvin, considered the Popes to be his incarnation, the Russian Old Believers considered Peter I in this capacity.

The Bible, in isolation from its canonical reading, provides opportunities for a varied interpretation of reality, not only because of the imagery and volume, but also because of the complexity of translation from ancient Hebrew, which fell out of use in the 2nd century AD.

# Everyone is waiting for the beginning of the Apocalypse from the New Year while an Israeli mystic warns of a “new plague” approaching

On the eve of each coming New Year, all newspapers, magazines and other media resources have always been engaged in promising predictions for the next 365 days. Nothing, of course, never came true, but it was like a tradition: astrologers and political scientists provide forecasts, and the people listen to them. Then, after a couple of months, everything that was promised evaporates and after another ten months, the cycle repeats again.

This went on from year to year, for many years – even from the era when there was no television. However, in 2020, something like that has changed and now, on the eve of the New Year, the tabloids are racing with each other to spread predictions about the End of the World. Some refer to Nostradamus, others to someone else there, but everything promises a noble star – chips, aliens, war, zombies, cataclysms and so on.

We don’t know how it will be with the war and cataclysms, but something has clearly changed in the mass consciousness – after all, newspapers write what the public reads.

Against this apocalyptic background, the editorial office of israel365news stands out well – they have always concentrated more on the signs of the End of the World. And now, in the approach of 2021, the Editorial Board sat down there, summed up the balance and found that at least ten, the main signs of rounding off the current civilization cycle have come true.

We will not retell everything in great detail, since we devoted separate material to each moment at one time or another, but when these new phenomena add up to, as it were, one, this is also a kind of event.

There are many new phenomena: frequent rains over Israel, as a result – the desalination of the Dead Sea and the appearance of fish there; the widespread outbreak of locusts, whose population in some places has increased by 8,000 times; the “plague” epidemic, the role of which today is obviously played by COVID-19; an increase in seismic activity in Israel, which indicates an imminent earthquake of great strength, which will be a harbinger of the war between Gog and Magog, which will enter an active phase. The most important thing though is the elections.

The coalition in Israel has collapsed, and the fourth elections, according to the prophecy, will not happen – the Messiah will come to Israel.

It is possible that everything will happen exactly as the rabbis say, perhaps the rabbis are wrong, but let’s see what happened in October-December in Saudi Arabia:

It has been raining since October, turning deserts into seas, and not for the first time or year. The result is a radical change in the landscape:

The problem is that the Quran says:

“The Day of Judgment will not come until the Arab land is again transformed into pastures, along which rivers flow ”

This is exactly what is being observed now.

At the same time, many other large and small signs of the imminent Doomsday have come true: the spread of printing and books, the construction of high houses, the acceleration of time, the fall in morals, and so on.

After all this, the so-called “Camel Battle” should happen, when two large Muslim countries collide with each other. Then the invasion of the tribes of Yajuj (Gogi) and Majuj (Magogi) will begin. And then – the Middle East will crack in half, and in the literal sense, after which water will rush into some of the holes, and smoke and fire will fall from others. In general terms, the Koran writes about it this way:

“The sun will be twisted, the mountains will move and the stars will fall, the seas will blaze, the sky will be pulled back, Paradise will be brought closer and Hell will be kindled.”

In general, it is rather surprising that Islamic mystics speak about the End of the World exactly the same as mystics in Israel. There is also an exact same picture of the Apocalypse in Christian sources – both ancient and modern. There cannot be so many coincidences out of the blue. Moreover, the main coincidence is that all three religions write about the sudden arrival of all this. The Koran tells about this moment as follows:

“… you will not have time to eat a piece of bread, make a bargain, a deal or drink milked camel milk.”

As experienced military people say, a real war always begins suddenly. With the End of the World, it will also be, obviously, approximately the same. That is, it is impossible for mortals to predict the exact date, so all that remains is to wait for the fulfillment of other, the final signs.

## Israeli prophet warns of approaching “new plague”

israel365news.com, in the material of December 23, posted some small forecasts with reference to the new sermon of the mystical rabbi Nir Ben Artzi.

Ben Artzi has a number of confirmed predictions, the main of which is a pandemic, which he guessed month after month and even described a little in the most general terms. Also, Ben Artzi has predictions and less, predictions, so to speak, local, concerning the events in Syria.

So, when the Russian military began to hastily deploy unparalleled S-300 systems in Syria in large numbers, everyone in Israel became terribly nervous. But the rabbi reassured the people that these missiles would not threaten the Jews in any way. Although the generals of the Russian Federation on TV argued the opposite – somehow miraculously not a single Russian missile flew into any Israeli plane.

Further, as we all remember, the Iranians were indignant about the non-firing missiles and said that Russian missiles were bad and that “we will put our own.” Since December last year, Tehran began to carry these miraculous missiles to Syria and civilians in Israel again got scared and again came to the rabbi for advice. To this, Rabbi Rabbi Ben Artzi only quoted Psalm 37:15:

“Their sword will enter their own heart, and their bows will break.”

As soon as the rabbi said this, a streak of misfortunes fell on the valiant Iranian missilemen – the missiles began to explode either at the start, sometimes during transportation, and sometimes even at the plant.

This summer, when the pandemic seems to have calmed down a bit, Ben Artzi promised a second wave. Moreover, he promised not for the fall, as everyone was wanging, but said that at the end of December a new strain would come and wild blockages would begin. As you can see, everything happened exactly as he predicted, so the words of the mystic about the next plague should be taken into account. He said the following about this plague in a recent sermon:

“There is an epidemic of plague in the world now, but very soon there will be another epidemic. This is because God wants to change humanity into a different species. “

According to the rabbi, the new epidemic will be much worse than what we are now seeing, it will sweep in a wave across the United States and Russia, so Ben Artzi urged the Jews of these countries to urgently go to Israel, for only there will be salvation, especially since the next stage, according to rabbi, there will be the coming of the Messiah.

Of course, the words of the rabbi about “changing people into a different species” are not very clear, which should probably be understood somehow in the context of the whole sermon, but israel365news does not cite the whole sermon. Nevertheless, one thing is clear: if you believe Ben Artzi (and we wouldn’t believe a mystic with such a reputation) – the world is waiting for some new disease, against which even coronavirus may seem like a children’s matinee.

However, whatever the reputation of Ben Artzi, any new prophecy should be compared with the words of other mystics. Oddly enough, other mystics, for example, the famous Polish parapsychologist Krzysztof Jackowski, say almost the same thing, that is, the adventures with the plague for the next three months will be tough.

# 50,000 earthquakes in Antarctica and mysterious trumpet sounds in the sky. What’s next?

According to Strange Sounds, there are a lot of weird things going on in Antarctica right now. While unusual radiation from space comes to the surface of the continent, more than 50,000 tremors have rocked Antarctica since late August! Scientists have never seen such an impressive surge in seismic activity.

Large magnitude 6.0 earthquakes, as well as thousands of other small earthquakes, have been recorded in Bransfield Strait, a 60-mile (96 km) oceanic channel between the South Shetland Islands and the Antarctic Peninsula.

Although there are several tectonic plates under this strait and earthquakes there should be by definition, nevertheless, according to the University of Chile, the last three months have been anomalous.

“Most of the seismicity was concentrated at the beginning of the sequence, mainly in September, with more than a thousand earthquakes a day,” the center said.

Earthquakes have become so frequent that the strait itself, once expanding in width at a rate of about 7-8 mm (0.30 inches) per year, is now expanding 15 cm (6 inches) per year. “This is a 20-fold increase … which suggests that right now … the Shetland Islands are increasingly separating from the Antarctic Peninsula,” says Sergio Barrientos, director of the Chilean seismic agency.

There is still no definite answer to this geological phenomenon. However, there are several hypotheses that help explain everything, and the first of them is volcanic activity under water. As shown on the map, Bransfield Strait contains volcanoes and volcanic regions.

Moreover, it is known that many volcanoes are buried under thousands of meters of ice in Antarctica itself and may be one of the reasons for the sharp melting of ice on the white continent.

Also, earthquakes can be associated with the separation of icebergs. When large icebergs break off, they sometimes cause serious earthquakes, which are then recorded by seismometers around the world.

Finally, earthquakes can be caused by the destruction of bottom gas hydrates and the subsequent release of methane. In particular, in the McMurdo Strait in the Ross Sea just 6 months ago, just such a phenomenon was discovered and documented.

The fact that a pole shift is coming, the flooding of continents and the reformatting of geographical maps of mysticism have been warning the public for about a hundred years. However, geological processes are rather slow relative to the life time of cockroaches crawling along the lithosphere, so neither Casey nor other prophets have a special total faith in people. At best, people think that everything predicted by Casey will happen in three hundred years, in some unknown year and for their lifetime.

But, as the gaining strength of the earthquakes in Antarctica show, the reformatting of the land is already a matter of the very near future. 50,000 earthquakes in three months is an abnormally high number.

## Mysterious trumpet sounds in the sky

As strangesounds.org again reports, citing Australian television broadcasts, on December 15, 2020, Sydney residents were slightly frightened when the so-called “trumpet sounds” shook the city in the middle of the night. The strangesounds.org record does not give, nevertheless, what at stake is understandable – these strange sounds are heard by people all over the world.

Weymouth, Dorset in South West England, December 16:

Texas, December 6-9:

Virginia, November 17:

In general, all these rumbles, although absolutely incomprehensible, nevertheless, are as if familiar. However, in the second half of 2020, something new appeared:

Unfortunately, it is quite difficult to search for such videos on the Internet and their purpose here is purely illustratative, nevertheless, televisions around the world give a detailed description of its scale: IndiaUSAUSA .

In the cited links to news broadcasts, numerous obvious ones tell how they witnessed incomprehensible “booms” in the sky. And everything is like on a video: somewhere, something bangs from above so that alarms are triggered and even spark wires, the police come to the scene, ride around the blocks – but they never find anything. At the same time, either at the moment of these “booms”, or some time before / after in this or that area, people heard the same trumpet sounds.

The main theory of the “trumpets of the Apocalypse” has always been traditionally seismic – these noises were associated either with deformation of rock layers, or with steam emissions into some underground cavity, which at that moment was buzzing like a musical organ. However, it is now very likely that the booms and rumbles are related by some kind of correlation. Not always, of course, something buzzes in the sky and then bangs there, but the geography of messages is correlated.

In addition, reports of UFO sightings correlate with all this. So, recently in the state of New Jersey quite a lot of “little flying saucers” have been seen, and in New York – in general, there is a 300% increase in the number of observations compared to 2018. The “booms” are also reported from there – the city of Osuigo, where the surveillance camera recorded a mysterious roar, is located somewhere in this area. Therefore, most likely most of the unexplained noises are still of some kind of atmospheric rather than lithospheric origin.

And, most likely, these rumbles and booms are not natural, but represent some kind of noises generated by alien ships (or other creatures that pretend to be aliens). But what is the reason for such an increase in strange atmospheric sounds? Hardly anyone knows the answer to this question, but judging by various medieval sources, it promises little good.

So, as chroniclers write, from Roman to Chinese, before all sorts of wars, cataclysms and other adventures for the kingdoms, people certainly watched some gods on fiery carts that galloped over the clouds with bright light and roar. Therefore, it is obvious that something like the fall of Rome or the disappearance of another Chinese kingdom is being planned now.